• Roman Mackinnon

ANALYSIS: The latest Newspoll shows Labor may be falling behind - but are the polls right?

Updated: Jul 8

It follows a week of gaffes from both the PM & the Opposition Leader.

The latest Newspoll was released late last night, with statistics showing Opposition Leader Anthony Albanese "stumbling" in the race to government.


Albanese slipped in the preferred Prime Minister poll, which showed the Labor leader falling by two points, to 37. Scott Morrison remained steady at 40 points.


Voters were also conducted on approval and disapproval. Albanese fell 5 points to 37 on approval, and gained 6 points to push his disapproval rate up to 51.


Scott Morrison wasn't overly favoured by those surveyed either, with just a 1 point gain for the Prime Minister, now up to a total of 43. His disapproval rate fell 2 points, to 52.


It will be a tight race to the May 21 election, with primary votes now standing as the following:

  • LIBERAL: 35 (-1)

  • LABOR: 36 (-1)

  • GREENS: 12 (+2)

  • ONE NATION: 4 (+1)

  • UAP: 4 (0)

But, in 2019, the polls got it all wrong.


It was predicted a Labor win would occur, but as we know, the Coalition won in a "miracle."

The rise of independents in the past 3 years has meant the lower house could be a hung Parliament - but can lightning strike twice for the Morrison government?


The leaders will go head-to-head in a debate hosted by The Courier Mail and Sky News which is set to take place in the upcoming days.


As of last night, the time for voters to enrol has now expired.


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